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Are you ready for what farming will look like in 2032?

GUELPH, ON (November 19, 2012) – Grain Farmers of Ontario wants our members’ opinion on four distinct future scenarios the agricultural industry could experience by the year 2032. By creating these four scenarios, Grain Farmers of Ontario hopes to better understand where farmers today see themselves in 20 years and determine how as an organization we can better position ourselves for success.

Peering two decades into the future requires radical thinking. Envision the year 2032 and agriculture in Ontario has experienced big changes. One possibility is for the first time in recent history the developed countries of the world, including Canada, are facing serious food shortages and many items we expect to be on our shelves are no longer there. How will farmers prepare for this potential new future?  Is it even plausible?

“These scenarios will assist Grain Farmers of Ontario with planning research investments, long-term crop management practices and predicting product quality expectations to maximize market returns for farmers,” says Barry Senft, CEO.  It will also provide a thought process for farmers to think about how they may need to start positioning their own farming operations for the future. 

Grain Farmers of Ontario, along with accounting and business advisory firm MNP, has created the scenarios that outline different possible futures along with what we estimate to be the most plausible outcomes. These scenarios for the future will fall under different categories or “drivers of change” identified by the board, staff and representatives from the industry – topics include: technology, the urban/rural relationship, immigration, global demand and the global economy, public expectations of sustainability and the environment, changing consumers wants and needs, public policy and regulations and innovation.

“Now it is our members’ turn,” says Senft.  “We have described the future under four different scenarios and are hoping each grain farmer in Ontario will take the time to tell us whether they are plausible and what each possible future will look like on their farms.”

Grain Farmers of Ontario appreciates farmer support and participation in filling out the survey. To access the survey visit, http://take-survey.com/mnp/GFOscenarioplanning.htm using the password “future” to complete the survey or phone the Grain Farmers of Ontario office at 1-800-265-0550 to request a copy be mailed to you.

Interim results will be discussed at the Grain Farmers of Ontario January district meetings where we also plan for further discussion and input.

Grain Farmers of Ontario

Grain Farmers of Ontario is the province’s largest commodity organization, representing Ontario’s 28,000 corn, soybean and wheat farmers. The crops they grow cover 6 million acres of farm land across the province, generate over $2.5 billion in farm gate receipts, result in over $9 billion in economic output and are responsible for over 40,000 jobs in the province.

Contact:

Barry Senft, CEO - 1-800-265-0550; bsenft@gfo.ca

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Grain Market Commentary for August 16, 2017

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement
Corn CBOT September 3.52  20 cents
Soybeans CBOT November 9.25  53 cents
Wheat CBOT September 4.20  44 cents
Wheat Minn. September 6.73  60 cents
Wheat Kansas September 4.20  24 cents
Chicago Oats September 2.60  10 cents
Canadian $ September 0.7898  0.15 points

Harvest 2017 prices as of the close, August 16 are as follows:
SWW @ $182.43/MT ($4.96/bu), HRW @ $189.46/MT ($5.16/bu),
HRS @ $254.49/MT ($6.93/bu), SRW @ $187.11/MT ($5.09/bu).

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Market Trends Report for August-September 2017

Monday, August 14, 2017

US and World

It has been an uneven growing season in much of the American corn belt. The Western corn belt has been dry especially in the Dakotas, while the mid south and Eastern corn belt were inundated with heavy rains earlier in the spring. The forecast in late July turned cooler and wetter for all of the American corn belt. This new forecast essentially changed much of the outlook for the American crop, but still many analysts were expecting lower August USDA numbers reflecting some of the earlier tough conditions for US corn and soybeans. Anticipation of the August 10th USDA report was filled with expectations of lower yield projections.

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On August 10th, the USDA lowered their projected corn yield estimate to 169.5 bushels per acre down from their earlier projection of 170.7 bushels per acre and less than last year's 174.6 bushels per acre. At the same time the USDA raised soybean yield expectations to 49.4 bushels per acre up from their 48 bushels per acre earlier estimate. This pegged 2017/18-soybean production at 4.4 billion bushels. Both of these USDA estimates rocked the grain market August 10th, as it was a big surprise. With so much uneven weather affecting this crop in the field a US corn yield of 165-166 bushels per acre was a general trade estimate. Futures prices plummeted on this very bearish report.

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