Marty Hibbs is a grain merchandiser with Grain Farmers of Ontario. Hibbs is a 25 year veteran futures trader, analyst, and portfolio manager. He was a regular guest analyst on BNN for four years and is currently authoring the Market Side education series on futures trading basics in the Ontario Grain Farmer magazine.
Ontario Grain Marketing Commentary for January 9, 2019
| Commodity | Period | Price | Weekly Movement |
| Corn CBOT | March | 3.82 | ↑ 07 cents |
| Soybeans CBOT | March | 9.24 | ↑ 20 cents |
| Wheat CBOT | March | 5.20 | ↑ 15 cents |
| Wheat Minn. | March | 5.70 | ↑ 15 cents |
| Wheat Kansas | March | 5.05 | ↑ 13 cents |
| Chicago Oats | March | 2.86 | ↑ 10 cents |
| Canadian $ | March | .7575 | ↑ 2.15 points |
Corn
Corn was quiet over the holidays and rangebound. We are still looking for upside but need to be cautious if we break below $3.70 on the close of the March contract on any given day.
A close above $3.88 on the March contract would give us the green light to challenge the all-important $4 level.
Both short- and mid-term indicators are now positive, but the primary trend is still down.
Soybeans
As suggested in our last commentary, the March futures found solid support at the $8.80 level. We are through the holiday season and look forward to a January rally. I expect to see a challenge again to the $9.40 level on the March futures in the coming weeks.
Short-term indicators are still positive, while the primary trend remains down. Support line is at $8.80 and resistance remains at the $9.40 level on the March contract.
Wheat
Wheat checked back to test the $5 level on the March contract while we were on holidays. This was no surprise as mentioned in my last commentary. We now have our support line well established at the $5 mark on the March futures and our overhead resistance stands at the $5.40 level. We need to stay above the $5 support to keep the positive tone in the futures.
Overall, the weekly charts still look very constructive, and if and when these prices are taken out we could be looking towards the $6 price target on the lead month contract in the spring.
Short-term indicators are bullish, and the primary trend is neutral to bullish.
Harvest 2018 Grain prices as of the close, January 09, 2019 are as follows:
SWW @ $247.38/MT ($6.73/bu), HRW @ $249.80/MT ($6.80/bu),
HRS @ $237.68/MT ($6.47/bu), SRW @ $242.53/MT ($6.60/bu).
